The Cuban Missile Crisis happened in 1962, just past the middle of the 20th Century. Has anything changed since the beginning of the new century?
“The agreement now reached,” Obama continued in his American University speech on Aug. 5, “between the international community and the Islamic Republic of Iran builds on [America’s] tradition of strong, principled policy diplomacy.
“After two years of negotiations, we have achieved a detailed arrangement that permanently prohibits Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. It cuts off all of Iran’s pathways to a bomb. It contains the most comprehensive inspection and verification regime ever negotiated to monitor a nuclear program.”
“Today, I want to speak to you about this deal and the most consequential foreign-policy debate that our country has had since the invasion of Iraq, as Congress decides whether to support this historic diplomatic breakthrough or instead blocks it over the objection of the vast majority of the world.”
Congress is due to vote on the Iranian nuclear deal in September. What poll did Obama use to come to this conclusion about the opinion of the rest of the world, and what has that to do with the opinions of Americans?
“It was a mindset [regarding the Iraq War] characterized by a preference for military action over diplomacy, a mindset that puta premium on unilateral U.S. action over the painstaking work of building international consensus, a mindset that exaggerated threats beyond what the intelligence supported.
“Leaders did not level with the American people about the costs of war, insisting that we could easily impose our will on a part of the world with a profoundly different culture and history,” Obama proclaimed.
Those words are a clue to his anti-colonial, anti-imperialist mindset.
“When the Bush administration took office, Iran had no centrifuges, the machines necessary to produce material for a bomb that were spinning to enrich uranium. But despite repeated warnings from the United States government, by the time I took office, Iran had installed several thousand centrifuges and showed no inclination to slow, much less halt, its program.”
“I’ve had to make a lot of tough calls as president, but whether or not this deal is good for American security is not one of those calls; it’s not even close. Unfortunately, we’re living in a time in American politics where every foreign policy decision is viewed through a partisan prison, evaluated by headline-grabbing soundbites, and so before the ink was even dry on this deal, before Congress even read it [they haven’t been allowed to read it], a majority of Republicans declared their virulent opposition. Lobbyists and pundits were suddenly transformed into armchair nuclear scientists…(Laughter)…disputing the assessments of Secretary [of Energy Ernest J.] Moniz, [a nuclear physicist who teaches at MIT, who assured Obama that concessions important to the Iranians would not pose a major threat]
“…there are those who say the inspections are not strong enough, because inspectors can’t go anywhere in Iran at any time with no notice. Well, here’s the truth. Inspectors will be allowed daily access to Iran’s key nuclear sites.”
But only if and when Iran agrees to allow the inspections. Having reassurances from a PhD from Stanford in theoretical physics is all very nice, but a reassurance from our Secretary of Defense along with some real proof that Iran won’t renege on the deal before the check is even cashed would be even more comforting.
“And – and by the way, nuclear material isn’t something you hide in the closet. (LAUGHTER). It can leave traces for years.”
Nuclear material is something you can hide in granite mountains, however. (LAUGHTER).
Then, Obama contradicts himself within two paragraphs:
“Second, there are those who argue that the deal isn’t strong enough, because some of the limitations on Iran’s civilian nuclear program expire in 15 years.
“Let me repeat. The prohibition on Iran having a nuclear weapon is permanent. The ban on weapons-related research is permanent. Inspections are permanent.
“It is true that some of the limitations regarding Iran’s peaceful program last only 15 years. But that’s how arms control agreements work. The first SALT treaty with the Soviet Union lasted five years. The first START treaty lasted 15 years.”
Fifteen years. That’s how adversaries put their targets off-guard, by agreeing to long-term agreements while they busily go about violating the treaty. While we’re lowering our guard because we think we’re safe for another 15 years, Iran is finalizing its targeting of our cities through nuclear weapons placed on cargo ships coming into the Ports of New York-New Jersey, New Orleans, and Los Angeles-Long Beach.
“…if 15 or 20 years from now, Iran tries to build a bomb, this deal ensures that the United States will have better tools to detect it, a stronger basis under international law to respond and the same options available to stop our – “our”? – weapons program as we have today, including, if necessary, military options.”
“Without this deal,” Obama claims, “the scenarios critics warn about happening in 15 years could happen six months from now. By killing this deal, Congress would not merely [clear] Iran’s pathway to a bomb, it would accelerate it.”
Obama’s logic is amazing. By giving them everything they want, he will save the world. By standing firm, keeping the sanctions in place, we guarantee World War III or IV. Huh.
You don’t need to have a PhD in theoretical physics to know that this deal might work, “in theory,” but that in reality, it’s a bad deal.